Weekly Market Update

Last week’s market highlights, closing
performance,
market indicators and the week ahead.

weekly market update  |  4 min read

Tariffs Battle Private Credit for Singular Investor Focus

The elimination of International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs implies a lower average effective tariff rate in 2026, despite the implementation of Section 122 tariffs. This shift has implications for U.S. ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Bonds Offer Income as Rates and Equities Churn

High-quality, low-duration fixed income remains attractive in this environment. Elevated yields provide a strong starting point, but macro conditions argue for patience on duration and discipline on credit.


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Jobs Noise Masks Resilient Labor Market

Reading the signal through the noise in the employment data for January can be more difficult than usual because of seasonal job swings associated with the holidays and new year.


weekly market update  |  4 min read

AI Capex Keeps Rising as Investors Debate Returns

AI and technology spending expectations continue to move higher, while the capex story remains strong. However, investors remain wary around the return on investment path for spenders.


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Markets Confirm Strong Recent Economic Data

Incoming U.S. economic data continues to provide fundamental support to our broad themes of a robust capital expenditures pipeline, a strong nominal growth environment, and sticky inflation.


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Earnings Reassert Fundamentals as the Cycle Matures

Earnings season brings fundamentals back into focus. As cycles mature, fundamentals become the preeminent driver of returns. We believe the U.S. is best positioned to deliver on elevated earnings growth expectations, but a strong ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Testing the Fed

Another round of headlines targeting the Fed's independence supports our conviction in gold over duration in the near-term. Two-way volatility can persist around these events, though effects typically fade quickly


weekly market update  |  4 min read

The Fed vs. U.S. Economic Data

The Fed cut rates, but opposition to the easing appears greater than implied by the dissents given details in the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and fewer requests for discount rate cuts.


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Liquidity: A Subtle Support for 2026

The Fed will likely move toward more accommodative liquidity settings as funding market stress exposes the need for additional cash in the system. Inflation will be a constraining factor on the number of rate cuts in 2026, but ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Dispersion: A Tale of Two Sectors

Recent Federal Reserve rhetoric revived expectations for a December interest rate cut. We still believe sticky inflation should remain central to the Fed’s calculus, but updated Consumer Price Index (CPI) data arrives after the ...