Weekly Market Update
performance,
market indicators and the week ahead.
weekly market update | 4 min read
The Fed vs. U.S. Economic Data
December 17, 2025
The Fed cut rates, but opposition to the easing appears greater than implied by the dissents given details in the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and fewer requests for discount rate cuts.
weekly market update | 4 min read
Liquidity: A Subtle Support for 2026
December 10, 2025
The Fed will likely move toward more accommodative liquidity settings as funding market stress exposes the need for additional cash in the system. Inflation will be a constraining factor on the number of rate cuts in 2026, but ...
weekly market update | 4 min read
Dispersion: A Tale of Two Sectors
December 3, 2025
Recent Federal Reserve rhetoric revived expectations for a December interest rate cut. We still believe sticky inflation should remain central to the Fed’s calculus, but updated Consumer Price Index (CPI) data arrives after the ...
weekly market update | 4 min read
Inflation, Profits, and the Drivers of Growth
November 25, 2025
We expect the policy path, not labor market slack, to determine the U.S. inflation outlook. The federal funds rate sits below economic rules-based prescriptions in unrestrictive territory. Globally, real policy rates continue to ...
weekly market update | 4 min read
Welcome Back, U.S. Economic Data
November 18, 2025
The return of delayed U.S. economic data will shape the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decision. We caution about adding risk in rate-sensitive equities for now.
weekly market update | 4 min read
Volatility Leads to Potential Tactical Opportunities
November 12, 2025
Market volatility and drawdowns are potential dip-buying opportunities, given stable fundamentals.
weekly market update | 4 min read
Tech’s Relentless Momentum & the Fed’s Data-Less Decision
November 5, 2025
Despite the vacuum of U.S. government data, current growth, inflation, and earnings trends will challenge rate cuts into 2026 & disappointing rate-sensitive exposures for now.
weekly market update | 4 min read
AI Boosts Efficiency, Reshapes Global Productivity Race
October 28, 2025
We do not observe signs of systemic risk in the credit markets currently. At this stage, tighter underwriting standards and healthy loan-to-value ratios, alongside Fed rate cuts, point to an expanding credit cycle rather than ...
weekly market update | 4 min read
Earnings Depict That K-shaped Dynamics Persist
October 20, 2025
Higher-income households are spending more year-over-year, while lower-income cohorts face rising costs that are constraining the pace of spending.
weekly market update | 4 min read
Markets Remains Resilient Despite Political Disruptions
October 13, 2025
Even as Washington remains gridlocked over healthcare spending and the federal government stays partially frozen, markets have held firm. Despite domestic political deadlock, several surprises abroad – where political shifts are ...