Weekly Market Update

Last week’s market highlights, closing
performance,
market indicators and the week ahead.

weekly market update  |  4 min read

Opportunity Seeking Amid Complacency

U.S. inflation remains elevated, but its momentum and breadth are not worsening. With growth recovering, we believe a Fed led by Warsh would likely cite these conditions to justify holding rates steady in the near term, while ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Rethinking Cash in Portfolio

The Fed has maintained a 3.5% to 3.75% target rate this year, and markets now lean toward a rate hike before year-end. We still expect inflation to stay elevated, and Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) print could push yields ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Inflation Pressures, Wider Profit Margins, and the Coming IPO Wave

Inflation is rising but thus far lacks the breadth and momentum that marked the 2021-23 and 1970’s inflationary episodes. Wider profit margins across 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors (led by Tech) supports our constructive stance on ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Growth Holds, Inflation Builds, Markets Recalibrate

The global economy is still expanding, and recession is not our base case. The gap between consumer sentiment and consumer behavior bears watching, but we do not see evidence yet of a meaningful shift in activity.


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Overheating Signals Call for Resilient Portfolio Positioning

In our view, earnings strength in the U.S. remains a sustainable driver of equity returns today. We continue to monitor Tech earnings as a broader bellwether for AI-linked equity momentum, as results could carry implications for ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Capex Broadens as Labor Holds and Themes Converge

The U.S. labor market posted another month of strong job gains, doubling expectations. Global PMIs strengthened in April, and South Korean export data accelerated, signaling continued upstream demand across the technology supply ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Strong U.S. Earnings and Capex, Central Bank Divisions, and Shifting Inflation Assessments

Technology-related investments fueled a surge in U.S. capital spending during the first quarter, though the gains were broad-based across sectors. Robust core capital goods orders suggest continued capex gains in the months ahead.


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Markets Roar Back: Why Earnings, Consumers, and Fundamentals Are Driving the Rally

Markets have staged a remarkable recovery since the start of the Middle East conflict. Risk assets have recovered sharply from the shock, with most major asset classes now trading above pre-conflict levels. The whiplash was real, ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Global Equities Rebound While AI Advancements Accelerate

Volatility events like the Middle East conflict require long-term investors to evaluate whether conditions point to a sustained drawdown in equities. If that is avoided, missing out on rebounds from short but sharp drawdowns have ...


weekly market update  |  4 min read

Seeking to Build Resilience with Alternatives

Our latest quarterly report reinforces our focus on building resilient portfolios. As traditional diversification becomes less reliable, we believe alternatives, for suitable and qualified investors, have the potential to ...